This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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September 8, 2020
STOCKS – MSFT, AMD, CRM, TWLO, TSLA
Macro – QQQ, SPY, UUP, GLD
Mike’s Reading The Markets (RTM) Premium Content – NOW WITH A 2 WEEK FREE TRIAL
- For The Week Of Sept. 8, Plus New Theme Tracker
- This Pullback May Be Different
- We Will Find Out Fast What Happens Next
- A Drop To 2860 On The S&P 500 Is A Real Possibility
- AMD May Fall 11% More
- Stock Market Comes To Critical Moment
- Stocks Set To Sell-Off Morning Commentary
- The NASDAQ Just Hit That Level Again – Midday
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN TSLA AND MSFT
MICHAEL KRAMER HAS QQQ PUTS
Stocks are trading down on September 8 as futures have turned sharply lower within the past hour or so. No news that I can see driving things, just the continued unwind of big overstretched technology names. It doesn’t come as much as a surprise to me, or to you either, I’d think. We have talked about this for weeks, how stretched the market had become, and specifically some of these technology names.
Maybe people have been talking about this Softbank, but I saw those big options trades, and from the data I saw on August 26. I went through it all in a video; these were all of these monster hedges placed. (Premium content – A Monster Hedge Against Several Technology Winners- Get 1st two weeks Free to try). I also wrote about in a free Investing.com story on August 28. Volatility Could Jump As Signs Point To Technology Led Sell-Off Ahead
S&P 500 (SPY)
More importantly, is the S&P 500 is indicated to open down about one-percent and is moving further away from that uptrend. The more we move away from the uptrend, the more likely it becomes, we do not retake it. This is a huge negative for the overall index because it likely means the major uptrend is broken, and if it is damaged, then that means we probably have much further to fall than anyone is expecting.
A drop below 3,310 in the futures sets up a move lower to 3,150.
NASDAQ 100 (QQQ)
The Nasdaq 100 is also trading well its 21-day moving average and just slightly below its uptrend. The index has yet to close below key support levels since April 22. So you do not want to see the NASDAQ futures close at these lows. A break of this uptrend sets up a drop to 10,870.
We are seeing a bit of a flight to safety today in the dollar index, which is up to 93.40. Again, a jump above 93.50 likely pushes the index up to 96. Remember this week is the big ECB meeting, and the Euro does matter to them; the rally may only be the start. It Will Be A Massive Week With The ECB On Deck
Gold may finally snap today, as the “inflation/speculation” bubble pops if the dollar starts to strengthen. With the next level below $1920 at $1870, but more likely $1820.
Tesla is one stock falling today and needs to hold critical support of around $370. A break of that support level sends shares lower towards $330. The company announced it completed its $5 billion offerings.
AMD is dropping this morning and is below support at $79, with the potential to go to $72.
Twilio is falling today below $237 and is likely to push to $218.
Microsoft is breaking its uptrend, and now it has the potential to fall back to support at $198.
What’s going to happen if the market falls? Is Salesforce’s trading desk positioned correctly? If not, this quarter’s EPS may not be that strong. Watch for a drop back to $200. Salesforce.com’s Big Earnings Beat Driven By Stock Market Gains
Have a great day!
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.