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The Stock Market Crawl Higher As The Break Out Draws Closer
The stock market continues to crawl higher on October 24, and at least the technical setup suggests we may challenge the highs tomorrow.

The Stock Market Crawl Higher As The Break Out Draws Closer

This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.

Otherwise, enjoy the column!

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OCTOBER 24

Stock mentions: AMZN, INTC, TSLA, TWTR, ROKU

Macro mentions: SPY

MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN MSFT AND TSLA

Reading The Market SA Market Place Headlines:

Beyond Meat’s Plunge May Not Be Over

MACRO

The S&P 500 finished the day higher by about 20 bps again, closing at 3,010. Nothing really to report about here, because nothing changed. The index keeps banging against resistance at 3,014, and it continues to fail. However, that may change tomorrow. Once again, a bullish continuation pattern has formed on the chart, and it would suggest that the SPX rise above 3.014 tomorrow and push on towards 3,028.

S&p 500, spx

STOCKS

Amazon (AMZN)

Anyway, Amazon’s stock is not having a good afternoon, with shares plunging to $1619 following results. It is what I wrote in this free story: Amazon’s Stock Will Need AWS To Deliver.   I really couldn’t have drawn it up, any better. Should we move the column over to the target achieved? Perhaps. However, I generally wait until regular trading to resume for that.

I think investors forget that Amazon likes to spend a lot of money. When your R&D is rising by over 28% y/y or $2.1 billion, when operating income is razor-thin, to begin with, it takes a significant toll on earnings. Anyway, the problem runs deeper because AWS’s operating income grew by less than 9% y/y, its slowest pace ever. Is that because they are spending? They are spending. But the problem is that they are spending into slowing AWS growth, with sales rising by less than 35%, its slowest growth ever. The problem is that Amazon needs AWS to deliver; because AWS is the high margin part of their business. Again, one reason why I have never owned this stock, and probably never will. Microsoft is a much clear play on the cloud, which is why I do own Microsoft. Didn’t you watch my video on this topic on July 26? Amazon Vs. Microsoft, oh wait, that was subscriber-only video. Sorry.  😛

$1620 needs to hold, or $1520 is next.

Amazon, amzn

Intel (INTC)

Intel is up after reporting better than expected results and providing solid guidance. No complaints from me here, again exactly as I thought it might happen, Intel’s Stock May Jump Followings Its Quarterly Report. The stock is trading above resistance at $53.50, and $56 still seems reasonable.

intc, intel

Tesla (TSLA)

Tesla held right around resistance all day today at $300. I think the stock needs to consolidate here for a bit before we even thinking about going up. But I don’t think once it resumes the next move will be higher.

tesala, tsla

Twitter (TWTR)

Not a good day for Twitter, the stock needs to hold $30.20. We saw this one coming.

twtr, twitter

Roku (ROKU)

Uh-oh, it looks like Roku may be getting ready for its next move, higher with that pennant formation. $145 is the next level of resistance. I guess I’m going to get this one wrong this week.

roku, roku

Have a good one

-Mike

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.