This Is Why Stocks May Rally The Week of February 4

This Is Why Stocks May Rally The Week of February 4

Subscribe to receive this FREE daily commentary directly in your email

Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Captial own Netflix, Tesla, Acadia

Monday, February 4

Domestic Markets

S&P 500 Futures +2 as of 7:45AM
US 10-Year 2.70%
Dollar Index 95.72
Oil $55.29.

International Markets

Nikkei +46 BPS
Shanghai – Closed
Hong Kong HSI +21 BPS
KOSPI -6 bps
German DAX -30BPS
UK FTSE +25 BPS

Key Events for February 4:

  1. Factory Orders
  2.  Earnings:
    1. Monday PM
      1. Alphabet
      2. Gilead
      3. Seagate
    2. Tuesday AM
      1. BP
      2. Viacom
    3. Tuesday PM
      1. Snap
      2. Disney
      3. Electronic Art

International Markets Near Turning Point

KOSPI

The South Korean KOSPI has continued to rise in recent days and is now stalling out. The index has filled the gap at 2,210, which is the level we had looked for, now it is facing a steep downtrend at that level. This will be a big test not just for Korea but the entire global equity complex.

With the RSI at overbought levels, my expectations would be for a minor retracement in the index over the coming days. But the trend in the RSI is now higher, and that would suggest the index does move higher after a slight pullback.

kospi

Hong Kong Hang Seng

We can see that the Hang Seng is nearing a resistance level and is also facing a downtrend, which is it is trying to rise above. At this point the RSI suggests more gains to come longer-term. However, the RSI over the short-term is overbought and indicates the index pulls back as well.

hong hsi

UK FTSE

The UK FTSE does have further to climb from its current level of 7,040 to around 7,120.

uk ftse

Overall global equity markets are hitting a rough patch, and I’d expect this to play out during the next few days or perhaps the balance of the week.

US Markets

S&P 500 (SPY)

The S&P 500 still appears to have a bit further to rise and has a reasonable chance to get to around 2,800 in the coming days. The chart shows that if the index can get over 2,720, it has a clear path higher towards 2,800.

S&P 500, spx

Russell 2000 (RUT, IWM)

The Russell has already risen above resistance, and it has a good chance of advancing to around 1,562.

russell 2000

Amazon (AMZN)

There will be plenty of continued focus on Amazon this week after its fourth quarter results last week. The stock continues to rest on technical support at $1,620. A drop below that level opens a path lower to around $1475.

Amazon, amzn

Netflix (NFLX)

Netflix has been slowly grinding higher with the potential to rise back to $355.

netflix, nflx

Square (SQ)

Square does continue to trend higher, but over the next few days, I think there may be a chance for it first to fall to back to $65.50.

square, sq

Unlock Deeper Insights with Exclusive Member-Only Video Content on The Market Chronicles YouTube Channel – Just $34.99/Month

Join this channel to get access to perks:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/joinPlease check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:https://www.themarketchronicle.com/https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624#sp500 #stocks #stockmarket #cpi #fed #qqq #spy #rates Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment. 15:55

Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join

Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624

#sp500 #stocks #stockmarket #cpi #fed #qqq #spy #rates

Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.

0 1

YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuNkxZN0J0TElWSDg

Bond Yields Are Nearing Escape Velocity

Mott Capital's Market Chronicles 9 hours ago

Join this channel to get access to perks:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/joinPlease check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:https://www.themarketchronicle.com/https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624#sp500 #stocks #stockmarket #cpi #fed #qqq #spy #rates Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment. 20:06

Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join

Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624

#sp500 #stocks #stockmarket #cpi #fed #qqq #spy #rates

Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.

1 0

YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuZFdycFhrLWdMU2M

Global Rise In Rates: Reasons and Impacts - Advanced Topics

Mott Capital's Market Chronicles 11 hours ago

Join this channel to get access to perks:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/joinPlease check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:https://www.themarketchronicle.com/https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624#sp500 #stocks #stockmarket #cpi #fed #qqq #spy #rates Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment. 13:15

Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join

Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624

#sp500 #stocks #stockmarket #cpi #fed #qqq #spy #rates

Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.

2 0

YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuUVktWUdhVzBpeDQ

Inflation Swaps Surge On Rising Oil and Gasoline Prices

Mott Capital's Market Chronicles January 13, 2025 1:04 PM

Blackberry (BB)

Blackberry continues to trend higher towards $8.75.

blackberry, bb

Tesla (TSLA)

Tesla can likely rise back towards $333.

tesla, tsla

Acadia (ACAD)

Acadia is back to the upper end of the range, and if can get through this $23 to $24 region it goes on to $27.

acadia, acad

GE

GE is hitting a wall of resistance at $10.65. There is a gap to fill, and that means it likely heads back to $9.

GE

See Ya Later!

-Mike

Photo From Flickr

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Add your email to The Market Chronicles' growing list of daily readers. A FREE market commentary on the trading day's most critical and least apparent events!

Add your email to The Market Chronicles' growing list of daily readers. A FREE market commentary on the trading day's most critical and least apparent events!

Subscribe to receive this FREE daily commentary directly in your email

Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.