This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own Microsoft and NXP
A dull day for the most part in US trading with the S&P 500 falling about ten basis point. It would seem the S&P 500 is consolidating today and getting ready for that next leg higher towards 2,915 on April 16. Tomorrow will be a rather big day with the ZEW business survey out of Germany, and Industrial production here in the US. These are two data points that if better then expectation could trigger positive price action tomorrow.
S&P 500 (SPY)
The chart shows another one of these triangle/wedge patterns forming, and lately, that has led to jumps pushing the index up over its next level of resistance. We have seen several of these triangles along the way higher since late December. It would suggest that tomorrow the same happens.
Amazon has really struggled at the $1850 level of resistance. It is not what I had expected. I do believe we will see it rise above that resistance, most likely tomorrow.
Alibaba had a rough day, as did most chinese stocks on the MSCI delay news. However, the trend is still higher and today’s pullback doesn’t seem to put that trend at risk for now.
JD is also dropping sharply, and the chart for JD continues to look solid with a strong uptrend.
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I think its time we start asking ourselves if Square is heading lower. The pattern is now beginning to resemble a descending triangle, and that is a bearish pattern. The stock is now at risk for a decline to $65.50
I wrote a story on why I think Microsoft may be heading higher, perhaps to $127 follow its quarterly results. This Is Why Microsoft May Rise After Quarterly Results
NXPI continues to look like it is heading towards $106.
That will be all
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