stock market bottom

4 Stocks That May Have Signaled The Worst Is Over For The Stock Market

Subscribe to receive this FREE daily commentary directly in your email

[widget id=”wordads_sidebar_widget-41″]

4 Stocks That May Have Signaled The Worst Is Over For The Stock Market

It was another brutal week in the stock market, with the S&P 500 falling by over 5 percent, but it was even worse because at the lows on February 9 it was down over 8 percent, just for the week. What if I told you that through all of this mayhem, that the S&P 500 was only down about 2 percent for the year, you probably say what is the big deal especially given last year’s gains.

[widget id=”text-16″]

[widget id=”text-19″]

A Crazy Year

It shows you just how overextended the market had gotten when it peaked on JanuaryĀ 26 near 2,880. It was on January 29 that I wrote that market the was extremely overbought, and that I was not worried about the VIX sitting at 15, but I was watching it. In fact, the four most significant stocks, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft were all flashing strong sell signals, not only that the relative strength index on the S&P 500 was at astronomicalĀ levels. It was on JanuaryĀ 31 that I again noted the market was still extremelyĀ overbought and was looking for a 3-5 pullback from that point.Ā  To this point since January 31, the S&P 500 has fallen by just over 7 percent, more than I had anticipated, but knowing how far the market was overextended, the declines are not surprising.

Also, I should clarify when I wrote on February 2, and the sell-off made no sense. What made no sense was that it was being attributed to yields rising, or inflation.Ā  That argument still makes no sense and seems to the lazy way to explain the sell-off.

^SPX Chart

^SPX data by YCharts

[widget id=”text-12″]

Four Big Stocks

If we look at those four stocks, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet they all seem to be showing encouraging signs that perhaps a bottom in the market has come. In fact, from their highs, each stock is down by at leastĀ 7 percent, while Apple has performed the worse down by nearly 13 percent.

S&P 500

S&P 500 CASH

The S&P 500 RSI has fallen from overbought to oversold level in just a weeks time, while Volume has surged, in what could be a capitulation type moment. The 5-minute chart suggests that there areĀ still some resistance hurdles left to climb at 2,633, which had been a support level, and we did fail at late Friday, but the steep sell-off worst part may now be over.

S&P 500

S&P 500 Futures

Also as previously noted the S&P 500 futures tested the lows on late Friday, and held, which also happened to be the 200-day moving average.

[widget id=”text-13″]

Apple

Apple also fell into oversold territory with an RSI reading well below 30, while volume surged, and found a bounce off of support at $150, a support level that has been tested in the past.

apple

Alphabet

Alphabet saw similarĀ price action on Friday, with an RSI falling from overboughtĀ to oversold, while volume surged. Alphabet also found critical support at $1,000, which also happened to be the 200-day moving average.

googl

Microsoft

Microsoft was no different, with shares of the stock hitting oversold levels, on surging volume, and running into essential support around $85.

[widget id=”text-17″]

Amazon

Amazon has seen its RSI retreat from overbought levels, although it has not reached oversold levels, nor has it hit a meaningful support level. But Amazon was also late to the party when it came to declining, and therefore it may not have bottomed just yet, but it appears to be getting there.

Unlock Deeper Insights with Exclusive Member-Only Video Content on The Market Chronicles YouTube Channel – Just $34.99/Month

Join this channel to get access to perks:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/joinPlease check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:https://www.themarketchronicle.com/https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment. 19:07

Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join

Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624



This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.

3 1

YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuS1FCcnZ3MUxvdVU

Stagflation Meet Greed

Mott Capital's Market Chronicles 12 hours ago

Join this channel to get access to perks:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/joinPlease check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:https://www.themarketchronicle.com/https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment. 15:08

Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join

Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624



This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.

4 3

YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuMk5ULXg5dW9BWms

Fake Out Or Breakout

Mott Capital's Market Chronicles May 12, 2025 1:23 PM

Join this channel to get access to perks:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/joinPlease check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:https://www.themarketchronicle.com/https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment. 13:02

Join this channel to get access to perks:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIIr1ooRsSukPL7rKNr0VHQ/join

Please check out my content on Substack and Seeking Alpha:
https://www.themarketchronicle.com/
https://seekingalpha.com/affiliate_link/Youtube81624



This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.

5 2

YouTube Video VVVNT0lJcjFvb1JzU3VrUEw3cktOcjBWSFEuUDFpMXFFZzdBRzQ

Inflection Points For The VIX And S&P 500 Are Here

Mott Capital's Market Chronicles May 9, 2025 1:21 PM

Netflix

If I told you on December 31, that Netflix would be up nearly 30 percent for the first five weeks of the year, you would have been thrilled. That is precisely how much it is up this year, and what is impressive is that is also nearly 12 percent off its highs. That is how crazy this year has been for this stock.

NFLX Chart

NFLX data by YCharts

Netflix should put into perspective how crazy this market was at the end of January.

[widget id=”wordads_sidebar_widget-41″]

VIX

The good news is that the VIX index is heading lower as well, as the RSI is now declining, while the deep sell-offĀ on Thursday and through most of the day Friday did not send it to new highs.

Yields

As for those treasury yields, they didn’t budge this week. In fact, They finished the week where they ended last week on the long-end, with the 10-year sitting around 2.85 percent.

Meanwhile, the spread between US and German bonds have also remained in check.

yields

Inflation Watch

While Oil prices, Gold prices, and copper prices all backed off this week.

copper

Credit

Credit conditions remain calm between the banks, with overnight libor seeing no significant changes.

Life As We Know It

So for now, it would seem the world isn’t coming to end.

[widget id=”text-17″]

Mott Capital’s Reading The Markets –Ā An In-depth Global Macro Stock Market CommentaryĀ –Ā In Video Format – See How Michael Dissects The Markets

Just $200 Per Year – Get Your Free Trial

Recent Videos:

A LineĀ Drawn In The Sand?

Searching For The Market Bottom

We May Have Just Hit Bottom

Machines Gone Wild

Don’t Freak Out About Friday’s Sell-Off

How The “Street” Got Apple So Wrong

Free Articles Written By Mike:

Why Bitcoin May See A 30% Dead Cat Bounce

Visa Options Bulls See Stock Rising 10% By June

Why Under Armour Faces Steeper Declines

Why Microsoft Can Rebound By 10%

Why Bank Of America And Morgan Stanley Can Rebound By 25 Percent

Nvidia Options Traders Bet Big On Chipmaker As Stock Drops

Bitcoin Investors Face More Pain On Likely 35% Plunge

Why Apple’s Supercycle Has Only Begun

Qualcomm’s Time To Decide Its Fate Has Come

Why Visa’s Stock Is Running on Fumes

How Tesla Mauled The Bears

Chipmaker Broadcom Doesn’t Need Apple To Rebound

Apple May Lose Crown As World’s Most Valuable Company

Chipmaker Skyworks Seen Rising Despite Apple Skepticism

Why Boeing’s Stock Will Keep Flying High

Join our 2,682 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! Subscribe

-OR-

[vc_tweetmeme type=”follow” follow_user=”michaelmottcm” show_followers_count=”true” large_button=”true”]

Photo Credit Via Flickr

Michael Kramer and clients of Mott Capital own shares of GOOGL and NFLX

Mott Capital Management, LLCĀ is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein.Ā Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

Ā© 2018 Mott Capital Management, LLC.Ā  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #sp500 #apple #technology #alphabet #netflix #amazon #microsoft #vix #yields #credit

 

 

Add your email to The Market Chronicles' growing list of daily readers. A FREE market commentary on the trading day's most critical and least apparent events!

Add your email to The Market Chronicles' growing list of daily readers. A FREE market commentary on the trading day's most critical and least apparent events!

Subscribe to receive this FREE daily commentary directly in your email

This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.