This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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For the Week of May 13
Stock Mentions: Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Alphabet, Micron, Disney, Facebook
Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own Apple, Alphabet, Disney, Netflix
The week of May 13 may not live up to the hype of last week, but it doesn’t mean it may not be as entertaining. Trade tensions are likely to still be in the back of many investors minds, but with no meetings planned between the two countries it can at least begin to make its way out of the headlines. That being said we will need to focus on the Asian markets and how they perform. The markets that continue to be the main focus for me will be South Korea and Hong Kong.
The Kospi chart is confusing, to say the least, with double tops and bottoms in at least three places. I want to predict the index rebounds and starts a push back to 2,220. The RSI has a longer-term uptrend, and that would suggest to me the index is not facing a further decline. It is a positive for global growth.
Hong Kong (EWH)
Hong Kong also finds itself in a tight spot resting on technical support around 28,160. It would be a bad sign if the index fell below support at that level because then the HSI would likely fall further to 27,345.
S&P 500 (SPY)
The S&P 500 had a big end of day rally on Friday. We can see that the S&P 500 had a nice retest of the lows on Thursday, and the only thing standing in the way of the index continuing to rally is resistance around 2895. Should resistance be broken it sets up an increase to around 2,915.
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The NASDAQ was able to fill the same gap on its chart as the S&P 500, from April 1. The NASDAQ closed right at resistance at 7,917. The RSI is trending nicely higher and suggesting that the index continues to rise.
Apple managed to survive the week holding both an uptrend and support at roughly $194.50. The big test comes Monday and if can manage to move back above $198. If that happens, it can help to push the stock higher towards $209.
Amazon held support around $1,850 this past week, and if it can move above $1,900 again, it has a chance to start trending higher back towards $2,000.
Despite everything Netflix has held up fairly well, and why shouldn’t it? It has nothing to do with anything remotely close to China. I still think it is trending towards $405. The RSI is still diverging, and that is something worth keeping a close eye on.
Facebook has held the uptrend and support at $186, and I think this continues to push higher towards $203.
Micron may find itself in a tight spot with the trade worries I think this one continues to fall to around $36 before finding a bounce.
Alphabet has found some support around the $1,150 to $1,170 region, and I think this one starts heading back to $1,200.
It would seem that Disney has a new floor to work higher off around $132. There is a good chance it heads back to $138.
That is it for Saturday.
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.