7 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week of May 4
The week of May 4 will be a busy one for the stock market, with a lot of economic news, maybe even set the tone for the rest of the month.

7 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week of May 4

This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.

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May 3, 2020




It will be a hectic week as earnings begin to wind down, and economic data flood the headlines. ISM Non-Manufacturing data, ADP private payroll, and the BLS job report will come throughout the week, and these are as important as they come. It could very well set up the direction for the market for the next month.

Unfortunately, I am not bullish on equities at this point, and I haven’t been since the end of March. I know, you think I missed the big rebound. I haven’t because I have still been invested; all I did was raise my cash position, and de-risk my portfolio. So you can be bearish on the market and still be invested, it is just how you position your portfolio that matters.

S&P 500 (SPY)

Anyway, this past week finished on a low note, and I fear we may see things grow worse, especially given how the indexes closed on Friday. The S&P 500 fell out of the rising wedge on Friday. The level around 2,800 is a considerable level based on dealer gamma positioning, with a break likely resulting in a spike in volatility. You can see on the chart that 2,800 is also a critical support level, not a coincidence. Should the index crack 2,800, the S&P 500 could easily fall to 2,720. Premium content – Many Signs Point To Lower Equity Prices

S&P 500, spx


Meanwhile, the NASDAQ fell below an uptrend and support level that formed off the March lows, and I fear that it is a strong bearish sign. If the index can re-take that uptrend on Monday or Tuesday, then perhaps we can continue to rise. I think it is more likely we head to 8450.

nasdaq, qqq

Amazon (AMZN)

Amazon is nearing an uptrend, with a break setting up a drop to 2,095. Free story- Amazon’s Pullback May Only Be Starting

amazon, amzn

Microsoft (MSFT)

Microsoft isn’t cheap at these levels, despite having a strong future. I think the stock move lower to $161. Free story – Microsoft’s Stock May Struggle To Rise Despite Massive Earnings Beat

microsoft, msft

Nvidia (NVDA)

Nvidia has stalled out, and I think shares move lower to $256.

nvidia, nvda


The next level of resistance for AMD comes at $46.25.

Netflix (NFLX)

I think Netflix continues lower as well back to $386.

netflix, nflx

Have a good week


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