This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
Otherwise, enjoy the column!
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Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own Tesla and Visa
Stocks finished the week off flat with the S&P 500 at 2,706. The NASDAQ did fall about 30 basis points, but some of those losses are likely due to Amazon’s decline of nearly 5.5%. The S&P 500 did struggle a bit at a minor technical resistance around 2,716, but I do not expect that level to act as a significant problem for the market.
Amazon fell to technical support right at$1,620. It held near that level all day. The chart is looking even worse than before earnings. It shows that a downtrend is still firmly in place, with the chances for the stock falling to $1,475 increasing. Additionally, the RSI continues to trend lower, with no sign for a change in direction. It is a bearish trend, and it is hard to ignore because after the RSI trend has been the right call now for some time.
I wrote an article on Amazon today, which is free, expanding on yesterday’s blog. I take it a bit further, with some added dates. It shows that the slowed in sales growth is steeper than I had initially thought.
The chart below shows the trend in total sales growth including the company guidance and then analysts future sales estimates. It would suggest to me that perhaps 2019 growth estimates still have further to fall. You can read more here: Amazon Is Now A Slowing Growth Story
Ok, let’s move on, I had enough with Amazon.
The chip stocks continue to be hot, with Micron rising to about $39.60 and the stock is quickly approaching our resistance zone between $40 and $42. I think the stock can rise to the upper area of $42. The reason is that RSI has now apparently broken its downtrend and is trending steadily higher. A big positive!
On Semi (ON)
On Semi is another name that is rallying and is nearing resistance at $21.90.
Roku continues to trend nicely higher, and the stock is still likely heading towards $48.
Visa was down yesterday following results, for reasons that are still beyond me. But today investors seemed to change their mind because the shares rose sharply recovering tall their losses and adding on some to resistance at $140. It looks like this might be a tough level for the stock. We need to watch this one.
Tesla still appears to be on its way towards $330.
Happy Friday! Plenty more over the weekend!
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