Tariff tensions drive a significant dollar breakout and a surge in long-term yields, hinting at increasing inflation expectations. As stocks approach a potential peak, technical indicators signal caution ahead of earnings season.

Stocks declined after President Trump announced new 25% tariffs effective August 1 for countries including Japan and South Korea, increasing market uncertainty. Meanwhile, the dollar index is signaling a potential reversal higher, suggesting volatility could rise further in coming days.

📉 Global currencies are moving in one direction, U.S. stocks in another. Who’s right? In today’s video, I break down the major divergence between the equity markets and global currencies…

Tomorrow is Job’s Friday, except it only be Thursday.

A clear rotation hit markets today as the Nasdaq dipped and the equal-weight S&P 500 surged. Key ratios suggest caution ahead, highlighting historical patterns tied to previous market pullbacks.

President Trump appears to have appointed himself the unofficial “Shadow Fed Chair,” pushing for much lower overnight rates. With liquidity conditions tightening and bond markets hinting at slowing growth, stock indices like the S&P 500 and NASDAQ are flashing overbought signals. This week’s economic data could reveal whether markets remain resilient or face renewed volatility.

Markets enter a short yet data-packed week dangerously overbought, driven by Nvidia’s relentless climb despite tightening liquidity conditions. With implied volatility suspiciously low ahead of critical economic data and rising trade rhetoric, investors may be underestimating potential turbulence. Meanwhile, gold’s breakdown could signal deeper trouble ahead.

Stocks rose modestly on low volume as volatility remains compressed and investors position cautiously ahead of looming tariff deadlines and weaker data.

Stocks stall amid declining volumes, as Nvidia becomes increasingly overbought. Rising repo rates signal tightening liquidity pressures ahead of quarter-end.

Interesting times in the stock market. At 1 PM yesterday, it seemed the world was on the verge of collapse as the S&P 500 tested 5,950, seemingly poised to head…

Stocks swung wildly amid low liquidity, driven by Tesla’s sharp rally. Volatility fell sharply as geopolitical tensions eased, while key currency pairs reversed intraday and Treasury yields held critical support.

Oil surges from US-Iran conflict fuel inflation fears & rising rates. NASDAQ faces downside as technicals and post-OpEx volatility amplify market risks.

Stocks Flat as Fed Projects Slower Growth, Higher Inflation and Unemployment

Stocks fell today and they may be more to come..

Stocks were higher on the day, and so was realized volatility.

Quarterly Taxes are due this week.

It was another low-volatility, low-volume trading session for S&P 500 futures, with the cash market rising by about 40 bps on the day. As noted yesterday, the 40 bps gain…

stocks fall as tariff talks heat back up.

It is getting tight out there…

Still waiting…