Even After CPI and PPI Long-Term Treasury Rates Still Look Too Low
Long-term Treasury rates remain elevated after CPI and PPI as real yields rise and the yield curve points to further normalization.
Read moreLong-term Treasury rates remain elevated after CPI and PPI as real yields rise and the yield curve points to further normalization.
Read moreThe S&P 500 rallied in the second quarter, led by semiconductor stocks amid optimism about artificial intelligence growth. Memory-chip companies were standouts, helping push the index’s year-to-date total return, including…
Read moreThe S&P 500 rallied sharply even as liquidity conditions continue to tighten, with T-bill issuance, repo financing and currency hedging in focus.
Read moreThe S&P 500 gamma squeeze fades as dispersion unwinds and 10-year real yields rise, creating new risks for the market rally.
Read moreRising Treasury yields, unstable S&P 500 gaps, falling dispersion, and a fading gamma squeeze could leave stocks increasingly vulnerable.
Read moreThe market rally stalled as implied volatility unwound after earnings, while FX moves, dispersion, and correlations pointed to growing risk-off signals.
Read moreSemiconductor stocks led the S&P 500 higher as a sharp gamma squeeze fueled the rally. Learn why the positioning reversal may be ending and why volatility could rise ahead of Friday’s jobs report.
Read moreThe S&P 500 erased its July losses after a powerful rally led by mega-cap technology stocks. See how options activity, easing credit concerns, the VIX, and Treasury yields are shaping the market outlook.
Read moreA busy week of economic data, Treasury issuance, and the VIXEQ-VIX spread could shape Treasury yields, equity volatility, and market direction.
Read moreLong-term Treasury yields climbed after the FOMC meeting as term premiums and bond volatility rose, signaling potential risks for stocks.
Read moreMott Capital’s third-quarter 2026 market outlook in 45 charts — S&P 500 trend, volatility, rates, liquidity, credit, earnings and FX. Data as of July 30, 2026.
Read moreThe S&P 500 rallied despite weakening FX signals as USD/KRW and USD/JPY, BOJ policy expectations, and implied correlation point to growing market risks.
Read moreThe Fed meeting sparked a dramatic steepening of the Treasury yield curve as investors priced out additional rate hikes, while the S&P 500 entered a critical technical support zone amid rising volatility.
Read moreThe Korean won is emerging as a key driver of the AI trade. Learn how a stronger won, higher Korean interest rates, and shifting capital flows could pressure AI and semiconductor stocks.
Read moreSemiconductor stocks weakened as SMH tested key support ahead of Big Tech earnings, the FOMC meeting, PCE inflation data, and Treasury settlements.
Read moreLiquidity headwinds are building as Treasury bill issuance, fading earnings dispersion, and the upcoming Fed meeting create potential pressure for the S&P 500.
Read moreMarkets are increasingly pricing additional Fed rate hikes as real yields rise, the U.S. dollar strengthens, and financial conditions tighten, creating potential headwinds for stocks, credit, gold, and Bitcoin.
Read moreThe S&P 500 fell as Nvidia CDS spreads widened, real yields surged, and the dollar broke higher, raising questions about inflation and Fed policy.
Read moreThe 2-year Treasury yield is nearing a key breakout while semiconductor CDS spreads continue to widen, signaling growing caution in credit markets.
Read moreThe S&P 500 reached an important technical level as Treasury settlement trends, market liquidity, and rising CDS spreads shaped the broader outlook.
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