Credit spreads are starting to widen, and that needs to be watched closely.
Category: Monster Market Commentary
Stocks May Be In For A Wild Week of Trading Starting on March 25, 2024
Stocks could be in for a strange week of trading starting with a lunar eclipse on March 25 and ending with a Jay Powell Q&A session on March 29, a day the market is closed.
A Lack of Control Over Inflation Appears To Be Taking Hold
Stocks and the dollar rise following weak central bank actions.
Stocks Trade Higher As Implied Volatility Melts, As Expected
Stocks rose today as the implied volatility fell sharply during the FOMC press conference, as previously noted.
The VIX Falls Ahead Of OPEX and The FOMC Meeting
The VIX fell on March 19, but the VIX 1-day rose ahead of the FOMC meeting.
Stocks Rally on March 18 Ahead of Key Events Later This Week
Stocks rallied on March 18 ahead of the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve policy decisions later this week.
The Fed and The BOJ Will Take Center Stage The Week of March 18, 2024
The Bank of Japan will be on Tuesday to make a decision on monetary policy followed by the Fed on Wednesday.
Stocks Drop As Hot Inflation Report Shocks Rates And Dollar Higher
Stocks fell on March 14, 2024 as a hot PPI report sent interest rates and the dollar sharply higher.
Inflation Is At Risk Of Roaring Back To Life
Stocks fell today, but commodities prices were breaking out all over the place as inflation risk coming back to life.
Stocks Rally Despite, Higher Rates and Hotter CPI
Stocks rose today as Implied volatility fell sharply despite rising rates and hotter CPI.
The Stock Market May Care More About Tomorrow’s CPI Report Then You Think
CPI inflation swaps are pricing in a hot CPI report on March 12 and the equity market moved implied volatility sharply higher today.
Nvidia May Not Be Able To Save The Market From A Hot CPI Report This Time
The CPI report is due to come on Tuesday, and swaps are pricing in a hotter than expected report for February.
Stocks Rise on March 7, 2024 As The AI Machine Goes Manic
The AI mania appears to be running the asylum.
Powell Puts Stock Market Bears To Sleep On March 5, 2024
Stocks bounced back on March 5, 2024 after Jay Powell gave pretty dull commentary in front of Congress.
Stocks Drop On March 5, 2024 As Bearish Rising Wedge Breaks
Stocks dropped on March 5, one day ahead of Jay Powell Congressional testimony.
Stocks Drift Lower On March 4, As A Bearish Rising Wedge Pattern Forms In The S&P 500
Stocks fell on Monday March 4 with losses offset by Nvidia.
It Is A Big Week of Market Moving Data Plus Broadcom Earnings
It is a big week of market moving data including the job report, and Jay Powell, but perhaps more important is Broadcom for the AI hopefuls.
Stocks Finish Higher On February 29, 2024, Following A $4 billion Buy Imbalance
Stocks were driven higher in the final hour of trading on a big end of month buy imbalance.
Stocks Fall On February 28 As Inflation Expectations Continue to Climb
Stocks fell on February 28, as inflation expectations continue to inch higher, and oil sits on the cusp of breaking higher.
The 10-Year Treasury May Be Heading Back to 5%
It seems clear that something is going on in rates and inflation complex that stocks just haven't caught on to yet.