This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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DECEMBER 16, 2019
STOCKS: TSLA, ACAD, BA, UBER, ORCL
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN ACAD AND TSLA
It was another up day for stocks with the S&P 500 rising by 72 bps to 3,191. The index got as high as 3,198 and turned lower. The index is now bumping up against resistance at the uptrend that has been in place since November 1. A gap-fill to 3,170 tomorrow would undoubtedly be helpful. It would help to prolong the rally and give the market a chance to rest. I’m not too fond of when the markets move this rapidly.
However, I’m not sure what tomorrow will bring. It feels as if there are too many investors trying to play catch-up and trying to put money to work as to not feel stupid at year-end.
But in all honesty, you can’t make up 20% of missed performance in 4 weeks, let alone 2 weeks. Yeah, the Eurekahedge Hedge Fund Index was up just 7% at the end of November. That was when the S&P 500 Total Return was up almost 28%.
Too late? I’d say so.
In today’s premium service, I discussed Sectors To Watch For In 2020.
Tesla had an incredible day rising on hopes the EV tax credits would be extended. The stock rocketed higher to close above $380 for the first time since December 2018. The big question, what now? So here’s the thing, the stock has failed at $388 three prior times, and I would think the stock doesn’t fail for the fourth time. Also, unlike the previous times, the relative strength index has been trending higher, not lower. You can see in the chart how the RSI peaked in February 2017, but the stock continued to rise, creating a bearish divergence. This time the RSI is still climbing, and I think that means this stock moves to $400. Should that happen, support at $390 should be strong in the future.
Uber broke out of its falling wedge pattern, and that means my thoughts the stock would fall are wrong. The stock’s RSI is clearly showing bullish momentum, with the potential for the stock to rise to resistance at $30.50 and perhaps on to $33.20.
Acadia got above $46. It seems there was a seller for part of the day at $46 based on that flat-lining around lunchtime. I still think it goes back to $48.
I saw a bunch of bullish betting in Oracle today that suggest the stock goes up. The good news is that the stock is trending higher. Premium content: Oracle Shares May Jump By 10%
Boeing is falling after hours on reports it is halting 737- MAX production in January. For now, this $320 region is the significant level that needs to be watched. The stock can’t afford to test support at $297. I talked about Boeing and the impact the MAX could have not only on Boeing but on the entire S&P 500 in the mid-day update today. Premium content – Stocks Are Jumping To Record Highs On December 16
Have a good night – Mike
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.