This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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May 5, 2021
STOCKS – AMZN, ACAD, TWLO, ZM, UBER
MACRO – SPY, QQQ
- RTM Video – Is Growth Slowing
- RTM Midday – Stagflation Anyone?
- RTM Morning- Filling Gaps
- RTM Global News And Notes 5.5.21
- RTM MIDDAY- IS IT FINALLY TIME TO TALK ABOUT TAPERING?
- Roku Earnings Preview- Need To Know Guide
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENT OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN ACAD
Stocks finished mostly lower, with the S&P 500 up just 7 bps, while the Qs fell by almost 35 bps. The index had been higher nearly all day and fell sharply going into the final hour of trading. The market looks tired at this point, and from a technical standpoint, it appears to be breaking down, especially among the growth sector. Specifically, when you start looking at some of these stocks that lead the market higher, appear to now be starting to lead the market lower.
The ISM data likely doesn’t help, with a number that missed estimates and prices paid that keep rising. It should make investors wonder if the growth in the economy is now slowing and headed towards Stagflation. I’m not saying I think we are heading to stagflation, but it is a question that needs to be asked. It is possible that peak US growth is now here or potentially behind us. (See premium content – RTM Midday – Stagflation Anyone?)
The chart below shows how the Qs opened higher but failed to get over the resistance at $332, finishing the day at the lows of the day. You can easily see the RSI is trending lower, and that would indicate to me that lower prices are likely still ahead.
Despite the hot inflation data from the CPI report, 10-year yields fell. Is the bond market now getting worried about slowing growth? Hard to say at his point, but certainly, a trend that needs to be monitored. I continue to think, for now, that rates are heading higher, with the potential to go beyond 2%. (Premium content – RTM Video – Is Growth Slowing)
Amazon fell another 1.25% today and is now down almost 11% from its after-hour highs last Thursday. There is still no bounce, and the RSI looks pretty bad, and the next level of support is around $3,200.
Uber is getting hit hard following results. I’m not even getting into those results. These guys either lose a huge sum of money every quarter or miss revenue estimates. They can’t seem to hit on all gears. The stock is currently right on support at $48.70 tonight; a break of that level sends the shares lower towards $37.85.
Zoom fell below $300 for the first time in forever, and that is going to put this one on a path to $275.
Like Uber, Twilio is on the cusp of a huge breakdown. Trading in the after-hours around $320. The next level to watch for comes at $260.
Acadia, I don’t know what to say. No type A meeting even scheduled, let alone had. They haven’t filed or had the meeting yet due to putting together the briefing documents. Too slow, in my opinion, they should be working day and night to get this process moving. Still have to sit and wait, I guess.
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