Stocks Rally On Short Covering Rally Ahead of The Fed

This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.

Otherwise, enjoy the column!

Subscribe to the Monster Stock Market Commentary to get the Daily Monster Market Commentary and join the 2,950 subscribers getting it for FREE!




Mike’s Reading The Markets (RTM) Premium Content – $45/MONTH OR $400/YEAR – The First 2-weeks are FREE to try.

Tomorrow is the big day, with the Fed statement and projections at 2 PM and the press conference at 2:30. Today looked very much like a short-covering rally, with delta hedging very positive on the S&P 500, SPY, and QQQ ETF. The VIX even moved below 30. So perhaps today saw traders reducing short positions ahead of tomorrow’s big event.

There was no other reason for today’s rally, Asian markets have been a disaster of late, and European markets stalled out. So, the only logical explanation for today’s rally is a risk reduction ahead of tomorrow. Although a slight miss, the PPI print will do nothing to sway the Fed one way or the other. Additionally, yields finished the day flat. So don’t be too excited by today’s rally.

I am a little annoyed because my perfect-looking triangle in the SPY is now not so perfect-looking. But like I said yesterday on the move lower, we need confirmation, which holds true of today. So essentially, today’s rally may mean nothing by tomorrow’s close, and with a giant gap to fill at lower prices, a move lower tomorrow back below is 4200 is possible.


Subscribe to the MCM Stock Market Commentary to get it Daily and join the 2,950 subscribers getting it for FREE!

Nvidia (NVDA)

Nvidia rose by almost 8% today, but you would never know it from looking at the chart. When you look at it, there is nothing worth talking about.

Amazon (AMZN)

Amazon rose by almost 4% today too, but like Nvidia, nothing has changed.

Shopify (SHOP)

Shopify also rose by around 8% on the day, but what has changed here, besides nothing.


Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser in the State of New York. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.