This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.
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Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own AAPL
Back to Rally Mode?
Stocks had another active day on February 22 with the S&P 500 rising nearly 65 bps to 2,792. At this point, it would seem that the 1 to 2% sell-off I had thought we were going to get is not going to happen, or it occurred yesterday and it was much less severe than I anticipated. But then again that is why investing is such a humbling experience because it can make the best of look like fools at points. So a blow to my confidence, I won’t lie, a bit. I had felt so sure that we get a 1-2% pullback. It happens, we can be wrong.
What happens now? It has become clear to me that there are many signs that the S&P 500 is likely to power right through this 2,800 level. I did a video today on the premium service and went through many charts that suggest the global stock market will continue to rally. I will get into more detail over the weekend. Here is a link, you can get two weeks free when you sign up: Signals Strengthen For Stock Continuing To Rise
The Russell is now near 1,593 and this a significant level for the index. If it can increase above that level it has room to go back to 1,700. There is very little to stand in the way of that happening should it break out.
Housing Index (HGX)
The housing index is also close to a big break out should it get over 295.
There appears to be an enormous appetite for copper with the metal rising to $2.94. I think what makes the big move in copper even more impressive is that it is happening without the dollar weakening. The fact that copper is strengthening on a strong dollar suggests that there is a real demand in the market place for the metal. Notice that copper peaked in the late spring around the same time that many of the export stock markets start falling. It tells us something about global demand, and what we have seen in global equity prices.
The mining giant BHP is breaking out of a one-year long trap. $57 is the next level of resistance.
Apple continues to show signs of moving higher. I think we can confirm that the stock has broken out with the opportunity for the stock to rise to $182.
Here is a free story on Square today, call it an earnings preview. Square’s Stock May Jump Following Its Results.
Roku went nuts today, rising back to resistance at $64.50. I guess the pop should not be much of a surprise, with nearly 35% of the float short.
Chipolte has stalled at $604. What is interesting here is that the stock has stopped rising as volume has fallen dramatically. It would suggest to me that buyers are drying up. I still think the stock falls back to the $550 region. That RSI is overbought and is trending lower longer-term. That is a bearish indicator for now.
That is going to be it.
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results. February 22 S&P 500