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Will The Stock Market Finally Break Out On March 15?

Will The Stock Market Finally Break Out On March 15?

This column is my opinion and expresses my views. Those views can change at a moments notice when the market changes. I am not right all the time and I do not expect to be. I disclose all my positions clearly listed on the page, and I do not trade my account on the stocks spoken of in this column unless fully disclosed. If that does not work for you stop reading and close the page. Do not bother me or harass me.

Otherwise, enjoy the column!

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Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Capital own Apple and Tesla

I Apologize for missing the morning commentary, I am only one person, and my schedule some times can be grueling. I overslept plain and simple, but I guess I needed it.

S&P 500 (SPY)

The S&P 500 went nowhere on March 14, literally.  On the bright side, we didn’t give back yesterday’s gains. On the not so bright, the S&P 500 still hasn’t broken out.

I hesitate to say this because my last few calls have been so off, but I shall. The current setup in the chart is what appears to be a symmetrical triangle. That would be a continuation pattern, and it would suggest that the S&P 500 rises above 2,812 and that would indeed trigger a breakout on March 15.  What’s the saying; if at first you don’t succeed, try, try again!

If you don’t like my flip-flopping lately do me a favor and keep your comments to yourself. No emails and complaints, just unsubscribe and stop reading. Not an issue. Go start your own commentary and tell me how you do, with no audience or followers on top of it. Not easy. S&P 500, spy

Oil

Oil did break out today rising above $57.80. It sets up a potential move now to around $61.70.

oil

Copper

Copper is consolidating and testing its uptrend today. To this point, that trend has held firm and could send the metal back towards $3.01.

copper,

Facebook (FB)

Facebook continues to struggle. As long as the negative headlines continue it makes it hard for the stock to continue to rise. The level around $173 has become a brick wall, and Facebook can’t get through it.

More bad news for Facebook is hitting tonight, with it’s Chief Product Officer leaving the company. I think there is a good chance this stock does fill that gap at $148, over time.

facebook, fb

Amazon (AMZN)

Amazon continues to struggle at the downtrend, it just can’t break out.  I talked about a few things I am seeing that gave me some optimism today. The stock is nearly impossible to call lately.  I’m doing my best, I promise. Amazon Is Nearing A Break Out

amazon.

Apple (AAPL)

Apple increased today rising above $182 for the first time in forever. We can see the stock’s RSI is now overbought and the best thing that could happen is for the stock to consolidate at these prices.

apple

Broadcom (AVGO)

Broadcom reported what looks like solid results. Additionally, the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance of $24.5 billion, which is better than consensus of $24.36 billion. A non-event. The fact that the company didn’t guide down is a good thing. I’m curious why they didn’t give fiscal second quarter guidance, but perhaps that comes on the call?

The stock is heading towards its all-time highs. I guess I get things right every once in a while. 

avgo

Chipotle

Chipotle continues to climb and is heading on towards $670.

chiptole

Tesla (TSLA)

Tesla will unveil the Model Y tonight. I couldn’t tell you what to expect. I just know that Model 3 production continues to ramp up and is approaching 6,000 per week. I will tell you that, I trust Bloomberg’s data on this topic better than any sell-side analyst, that is for sure.

Ulta (ULTA)

I will take a look at ULTA tomorrow morning.

-Mike

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Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.