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What A Bear Steepener Could Mean For The Market
CPI Day Live Replay 9.10.24
CPI Preview and Potential Impacts
Inflation, as measured by the PCE, has ticked down in April.
Trimmed Mean PCE can not even hold 2 percent.
The price action in Oil will likely drag inflation down further.
This will probably create a flattening yield curve. However, I see this another way. The yield curve will be flattening as short-term rates rise to long-term rates as the Fed continues to jack rates higher. My expectation is that the long-end of the curve will likely remain in the current “range” due to falling inflation figures from the Oil run-off. The Fed’s continuation of raising rates is a positive and shows continued improvement in the US economy.
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