Stocks Are Pointing To Slightly Higher Opening, But Are Likely To Fall
Monster Market Commentary

Stocks Are Pointing To Slightly Higher Opening, But Are Likely To Fall

November 6

Stock mentions: TSM, BABA, ROKU, QCOM, SHOP

Macro mentions: SPY

US Markets

  • S&P 500 Futures +2.5 points
  • US 10-Year Yield 1.84%
  • Dollar Index 97.79
  • Oil $56.98
  • VIX 13.16

International Markets

  • Nikkei +0.22%
  • KOSPI +0.07%
  • HSI +0.02%
  • China -0.43%
  • DAX +0.14%
  • UK +0.08%

MACRO

Declines Ahead For SPX

S&P 500 Futures are trading just slightly higher, and the general mood of the market still feels tired to me. It would continue to suggest that the index declines to some degree, nothing dramatic, and likely short-term.  The first level of support comes at 3,065 and then 3,038.

STOCKS

Taiwan Semi is Overbought

Taiwan Semi (TSM) appears to be utterly overbought at this level, and a decline to $52.20 seems possible.  The stock hit our target of $53.50 that I first laid out on October 11. Taiwan Semi May Have FurtherTo Surge

Shopify Looks Ugly

Shopify (SHOP) looks very weak, and one needs to watch for support at $286.

Roku is Broku

Roku (ROKU) will report results today after the close. People ask what I think; I don’t like it, I think it is overvalued and is widely believed to be something it isn’t. Some tend to think I don’t understand it. I do; trust me.  If you took the 10 minutes required to read the S-1 or 10K, you’d feel the same way. Their method to calculate ARPU would be the first warning sign. Good luck.  $122  or even lower seems possible.

Qualcomm Reports Tonight Too

Qualcomm (QCOM) has been on fire, and $88 is the next level to watch.

Alibaba Breaking Out

Alibaba (BABA) is finally breaking out, and $188 seems very likely.

-Mike

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