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11/18/2019
STOCK MENTIONS: SHOP, NFLX, MU, SNAP, SQ
MACRO MENTIONS: SPY, VIX
MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN NFLX
Reading The Markets Premium Content for November 18
- Traders Betting AT&T Not Finished Rising – Feature article
- Stocks Are Looking To Power Higher On 11.18 – Morning commentary
- 4 Stocks Surging Higher On A Dull Day – Midday Update
S&P 500 (SPY)
November 18 was one dull day, with the S&P 500 finishing up by 2 points to 3,122. It seems to be a general pattern that the market will choose not to go down on off days but instead move sideways. It is a repeated pattern since the middle of October. It certainly is nice. How long it will last, I do not know. The pattern is apparent in the charts.
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- A Surging Dollar, Negative Gamma, and the Battle Over 6,800
- Rising Rates, Oil, and Dollar Pose Risk to Stocks
- Volatility Crush Sends Stocks Higher Even as Oil and Rates Surge
- The S&P 500 And VIX May Test Key Gamma Levels Amid Rising Uncertainties
- The Liquidity Drain That May Be Crushing Bitcoin and Risk Assets
VIX
We do need to be careful here, because the VIX is trading around 12, and historically that has been the bottom of the range in 2019. The prior two times the VIX got to 12, was in April and July, and we know what happened in May and August. It is not to say that the low volatility can’t persist because it was around 12 or lower for most of 2017.
The moral of the story, don’t let your guard down.
Shopify (SHOP)
Shopify finally broke through the $315 level today and would indicate to me the shares are likely to climb around $335 or thereabout.
Snap (SNAP)
Snap had a very good day, and as I noted in a Forbes article today, the stock may climb to around $15.60.
Square (SQ)
I also noted in another free article on Seeking Alpha that it looked like Square may finally be breaking out of its slump and headed back to $70.
Netflix (NFLX)
Netflix continues to power ahead, increasing over $300 today. I think the stock is likely heading back to $320. I noted it was set up for a move higher on November 13 in a premium article – Netflix May Be Heading For A Break Out. I also spoke up it again today in the mid-day audio update – 4 Stocks Surging Higher On A Dull Day
Micron (MU)
Micron continues to fail at resistance at $48.75 for the second session in a row. The more it fails at resistance, the worse the outlook gets. Additionally, the RSI continues to trend lower, another negative sign. It makes the uptrend all the more critical.
That’s all for today.
-Mike
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
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