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Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Capital own AAPL and TSLA
2018 is over, and now as we turn towards next year, I present to you a list of 10 stock market predictions for 2019. You can read the earlier ones for 2016, 2017, and 2018 if you’d like as well.
Here is a summary of the 10 Monster Prediction for 2019 with the links below to read the full article. Enjoy.
10 Monster Stock Market Predictions for 2019
Prediction #10: The Fed Will Not Raise Rates In 2019Â – With the economy flashing signs of a slowdown and the stock market on shaky ground the Fed holds off on raising rates in 2019.
Prediction #9 – Banks will be the worst performing sector of 2019– When I wrote this prediction in early December the banks were higher than they are on December 31. The XLF Financial ETF had fallen by as much as 14% since the beginning of December.
Prediction #8 – The U.S. 10 Year Treasury Yield Falls to 2.3% in 2019 –  Rates have fallen to 2.7% on the 10-Year, and they may still have further to decline in 2019
Prediction #7 – The U.S. Dollar Will Weaken in 2019– With the Fed on hold and rates falling, it only makes sense that dollar weakens.
Prediction #6 – The Price of Oil Will Surge 50% On Weaker Dollar in 2019– Oil has been smashed in 2018, and a weaker dollar likely means that oil should rebound.
Prediction #5 – Tesla’s Stock Rises 50% to $500 in 2019 – This is something one can hope for, but the path will not be an easy one.
Prediction #4 – Amazon’s Stock Roars Back To Life In 2019 – Amazon has fallen hard as part of the broader market sell-off and a 25% rebound doesn’t seem crazy.
Prediction #3 – Apple is The Comeback Stock of 2019 and Rises 70% – It sounds crazy, but Apple’s stock peaked at around a price of $232. A 70% increase from its current price of about $158 on December 31 gets the stock to around $265. Yeah, that is how far the stock dropped in 2018.
Prediction #2 – U.S. and China Settle their Trade Dispute– This would be a very big positive for the stock market.
Prediction #1 – The S&P 500 Rises 20% to 3,000 in 2019 – Obviously we need many of the prior guesses to go right to get this one to happen. But hey, it is not crazy.
Good Luck!
-Mike
Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Charts used with the permission of Bloomberg Finance L.P. This report contains independent commentary to be used for informational and educational purposes only. Michael Kramer is a member and investment adviser representative with Mott Capital Management. Mr. Kramer is not affiliated with this company and does not serve on the board of any related company that issued this stock. All opinions and analyses presented by Michael Kramer in this analysis or market report are solely Michael Kramer’s views. Readers should not treat any opinion, viewpoint, or prediction expressed by Michael Kramer as a specific solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell a particular security or follow a particular strategy. Michael Kramer’s analyses are based upon information and independent research that he considers reliable, but neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. Michael Kramer is not under any obligation to update or correct any information presented in his analyses. Mr. Kramer’s statements, guidance, and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Michael Kramer nor Mott Capital Management guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment commentary presented in this analysis. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investments or strategies mentioned in this analysis may not be suitable for you. This material does not consider your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies in this analysis. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Before acting on information in this analysis, you should consider whether it is suitable for your circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.