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Visa, MasterCard, Home Depot, Netflix, Take Two, Activision, Oracle

Visa, MasterCard, Home Depot, Netflix, Take Two, Activision, Oracle



Visa, MasterCard, Home Depot, Netflix, Take-Two, Activision, Oracle

MICHAEL KRAMER AND THE CLIENTS OF MOTT CAPITAL OWN SHARES OF VISA, MASTERCARD, AND NETFLIX
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Let’s face it; if we are living in an Amazon, Netflix, e-commerce world, and you can’t use any of those services without a Visa or MasterCard. There is no doubting that as consumers continue to move more and more to a digital world, Visa and MasterCard become more critical. Use ApplePay, you still need  a Visa and MasterCard.  Amazon prime – you guessed it Visa and MasterCard. Costco- Visa only.

Sure you can own American Express, but there you have a company that is also holding the debt of its consumers. Visa and MasterCard, is like going over a bridge, pay the toll and collect the fee. Visa and MasterCard are the toll keepers to the networks.

Visa and MasterCard continue to become a more and more critical part of our daily lives. I have owned both stocks since I started the thematic long-term growth strategy in August of 2014.


MasterCard

Shares of MasterCard keep going up, with the stock breaking out in a big way this past week, and I think it has further to run, perhaps to around $212, based on the chart.

mastercard

Visa

Visa broke out this past week too, and it looks set to keep rising towards $145.

visa

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Home Depot

Home Depot’s stock is back and looks to be ready to climb back to its old highs.

HOME DEPOT

Netflix

Netflix subscription searches are still hot around the world, according to Google Trends with the Philippines and Singapore performing strong. I have owned this own since August of 2016. 


Oracle

Oracle is starting to show some positive momentum, and they have results coming on the 19th. The chart is looking reasonably healthy, and the RSI is rising nicely. I will do an earnings preview next week. But the chart would suggest a rise back to $52.

orcale

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E-Gaming

I still haven’t made up my mind whether e-gaming leagues are the next big thing or just a fad. I keep going back and forth on the topic. But the gaming stocks are hot and look to get even hotter.

Take- Two

There is  a bullish pattern in Take-Two

take two

Activision

and Activision

activision

Sorry for the quick run down, but I have a lot to do. Unfortunately, I work on the weekends too. Although my backlog is not the size of Boeing’s, I’m a one-person show, and my kids are too young to read and write! 🙂

That’s it!

-Mike


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Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future. 

#netflix #amazon #visa #mastercard #activision #taketwo #oracle #homedepot

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4 Stocks and 3 Sectors To Watch For May 22 - Mott Capital

4 Stocks and 3 Sectors To Watch For May 22



4 Stocks and 3 Sectors To Watch For May 22

michael Kramer and the clients of Mott capital own shares of visa
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It was a solid day for the S&P 500, with the broader index up about 75 bps, closing at 2,733. Meanwhile, Industrials were the clear winners rising by about 1.6 percent, followed by chips, and more general technology, and financials.

The setup looks very strong in the broader market, and it looks there are still more gains to come. I have written over and over about the strong fundamentals, and now the technicals are coming into alignment.


Small Caps

The strength in the small caps is confirming the positive tone, which is now at all-time highs.

russell


Boeing

Boeing was the big winner today with shares jumping by nearly 4 percent. I wrote on Sunday that the stock was likely heading back to $370. Well, today it finished up at $364. Should it get to $372, it will be a big test for the stock, because that is resistance from the previous high set back on February 28.

boeing

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Industrial ETF

The setup in the industrial ETF (XLI) doesn’t appear to be all that different. That ETF is looking very strong too.

boeing


Technology

The setup in the technology ETF XLK looks like it is just ready to bust out, and continue its previous rise.

xlk


Visa

Visa also looks set to breakout to new record highs.

visa

Micron

Micron was a clear leader in the chip sector today, and it too looks set to go higher. The company pre-release better than expected quarterly guidance prior to their investors day. Tonight, after the close, the company announced at $10 billion shares repurchase.

mu

Chips

The setup in the broader SOXX also looks very positive. I think we may see $197 in the not to distance future.chips

JP Morgan

JP Morgan is also nearing a potentially massive breakout.

jpmorgan

That is it for today.

-Mike


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Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2018 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #stockmarket #boeing #jpmorgan #visa #industrials #chips #micron

amazon microsoft intel

Who Was It That Said Earnings Wouldn’t Save The Stock Market?

Who Was It That Said Earnings Wouldn’t Save The Stock Market?

Michael Kramer and the Clines of Mott Capital own shares of GOOGL,V,MA

Well, if there were any questions that a strong earnings season was not going to help lift stock, I think today’s price action officially blew that theory out of the water. Add on Amazon’s colossal beat, along with Intel and Microsoft, and tomorrow is likely shaping up to be another intense day.

One needs to remember companies like Amazon, Facebook, Microsoft, and Alphabet aren’t any companies,  these are among the most significant companies by market cap, within the top 5 of the S&P 500. When they go up big or down, they take the whole market with them.


Amazon

Amazon just blew away numbers, and crushed it on the bottom line, reporting earnings per share of $3.27 per share versus estimates of $1.25. It seems impressive just how much control Amazon has over its bottom line, it comes down to if they want to make a profit or not, not if they can make a profit, and that is something quite frankly, I have never seen before.

Revenues also beat in a big way coming in at $51 billion, vs. estimates of $49.94 billion. But more importantly, the company is guiding revenue estimates next quarter to $51 to $54 billion, primarily inline with estimates of $52.24 billion.

I know the stock is up big after, and between its monster 4 percent before results, and 6 percent move after, it now up about 10.5 percent in total, to $1,615.

The revenue guidance is very impressive to me and there is plenty to like in the quarter, well have to see where estimates going forward start coming. If we start getting meaningful revenue upgrades, then an argument can once again be made that Amazon as plenty of room to continue rising.

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Microsoft

Microsoft also reported strong results as well, with earnings beating estimates by $0.10, coming in at $0.95 per share, while revenue also top expectations coming in at $26.82 billion, vs. estimates of $25.78 billion. Again very strong numbers, and impressive levels of growth. Microsoft is basically unchanged in the after hours.

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0 For 5, What!

So lets see I’m gonna give myself an 0-2 as a follow-up to my five stock prediction article.   It makes my total predictions at 0 for 5, with the immediate after hours market reactions. But in all fairness, lets see where all these stocks are in a weeks time.

Beside I am right sometimes aren’t? LOL. Of course, I am, I nailed Visa, eBay, Intel, Qualcomm, Verizon, American Express, Netflix, to name a few. Look we all get things right and wrong, it is just the way it goes. You have to go with the flow.

Anyway, moving on then.


Intel

Intel reported a big beat, and the stock is also rocketing higher following results, and I continue to think this one is heading towards, $60. I targeted that level back in December. intel

I still think SQ has further to fall as well, perhaps towards $42.

dquare


Visa

Visa had a big day, and is trading at all-time highs, I think a rise above that upper trend line, accerlates the rise. The numbers were that good. I think upgrades are still to come.

visa


MasterCard

Pretty much where Visa goes, so too does MasterCard, so I expect good results from MasterCard as well, and could it too could be getting ready for a big push higher.

mastercard

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GE

Did you notice where GE stopped rising? Yeah at $14.85, I swear you really can’t make this stuff up!

ge

Good night, and thanks for reading!

-Mike

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Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2018 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #stockmarket #ge #amazon #Microsoft #visa #mastercard #intel 

Chip Stocks Monster Week, Plus Micron, AMD, Netflix, Visa and Microsoft


Chip Stocks Monster Week, Plus Micron, AMD, Netflix, Visa and Microsoft

Believe it or not, the S&P 500 was up by about 3.25 percent for the week! An unexpected gain, with most of it coming on Friday. The semiconductor stocks ($SOXX) led the charge with the group up by nearly 5 percent, followed by Industrials ($XLI), and Biotech ($IBB). Outside of consumer staples ($XLP) and utilities ($XLU), it was a good week for all.

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Chips Stocks

Look at the chip stocks! Wow. We aren’t even though the first quarter and look at these significant gains. Micron, Microsemi, MKS Instruments, Qorvo, Nvidia, On, astounding, all up over 20 percent. Of the top 25 stocks in the SOXX ETF, only two are down for the year, Qualcomm and Broadcom.

Micron

I was surprised to see how poorly Micron performed today, after a strong week. The momentum has been strong, and one has to wonder why the momentum suddenly came out of it today? micron


AMD

On the other end of the spectrum, AMD is a stock that has gone nowhere. Don’t be fooled by the stock being up by 16 percent in 2018. The stock is actually down nearly 12 percent over the past 52 weeks. The earnings growth appears to be present, with earnings in 2018 expected to rise by over 117 percent to $0.37, followed by $0.52 in 2018, and $0.58 in 2019. Even revenue is expected to grow from roughly $6.3 billion in 2018 to $7 billion in 2020. But the stock won’t budge. The only problem I see with it is that for a chip stock it is expensive at 22.6 times one-year forward earnings. That is a lot, for a stock in this space, especially for one that’s name is not Nvidia.

AMD Chart

AMD data by YCharts


Microsoft Or Visa

Out of all the stocks that make up the SPY ETF top 25 holdings, I never would have guessed that Microsoft at 24.3 times one-year forward earnings estimates was the second most expensive stock behind Amazon. Followed by Alphabet at 24.06 and Visa at 24.03.

Microsoft is trading at all-time highs, but one has to wonder just how Microsoft is a better buy then say Visa presently, at the same earnings multiple. Microsoft is expected to grow its earnings by 8 percent in 2019 to $3.64 from $3.95. Meanwhile, Visa is expected to increase its earnings by nearly 17.5 percent from $4.41 to $5.18. If the bet for Microsoft is blockchain for example,  and that is going to be a way to transact in the future, Visa and MasterCard are going to be involved in some way shape or form, don’t you think?

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Amazon and Netflix

Amazon and Netflix continue just to lead the consumer names, and can you wonder why? These two companies are just loaded with future growth. But the pace they are both rising in 2018, just leaves me lost for words.

AMZN Chart

AMZN data by YCharts

As I have said before I own Netflix, and I am more than happy for the stock to rise over time, but 72 percent in the first six weeks of the years, seems like a bit much. Keep in mind; I’m the guy that wrote Netflix was cheap after it reported results in the middle of January. Then I took it one step further and said shares could rise to $355. But the pace of the rise makes me feel uncomfortable, and you are right I could sell it. But I do believe this is a multi-year growth, and even at its current price, it likely has much further to rise over time. This a global growth story in a way that has never happened before. I’d take a month or two of sideways consolidation at this point.

Tomorrow we’ll take a look at the week to come.

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Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own shares of GOOGL, NFLX, V

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2018 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #sp500 #chips #micron #nvidia #amd #visa #microsoft #amazon #netflix

 

 

 

 

visa mastercard amazon alibaba paypal alphabet

Amazon or Alibaba? Plus Visa, MasterCard, PayPal and Alphabet

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Amazon or Alibaba? Plus Visa, MasterCard, PayPal and Alphabet

The earnings parade as we started to note earlier is pretty big this week, and there plenty of additional companies reporting like Alibaba, Visa, MasterCard, Alphabet, and PayPal. But there is so much more to these companies than just earnings. Let’s explore

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Alibaba or Amazon?

Alibaba shares have soared by nearly 100 percent over the past 52-weeks, and the stock just continues to run higher. Alibaba is the Amazon.com  that tries to make a profit.  Analysts are looking for the company to earn $1.66, on revenue of $12.24 billion in its fiscal third quarter.

AMZN Revenue (TTM) Chart

AMZN Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts

It is incredible when you compare Amazon and Alibaba because Amazon’s revenue is more than five times that of Alibaba, but Alibaba’s operating income is nearly three times more than Amazon’s. A surprising fact that seems so unbelievable. Look at the chart below; Amazon has had revenue of over $161 billion over the trail-twelve-months to Alibaba’s near $29 billion, but Alibaba has created operating income of almost $9.5 billion, vs. Amazon’s $3.23 billion.

If you had to choose from a fundamental standpoint, Alibaba is the better choice of the two companies.

Visa and MasterCard

Visa and MasterCard have risen by over 50 percent each over the past 52-weeks, and both are up over 10 percent since the start of 2018. The rise in both stock is likely on the heels of a strong holiday season.

Analysts are looking for Visa to report revenue of $4.891 billion and earnings of $0.98, while MasterCard is expected to report revenue of $3.254 billion and earnings $1.12. Both stock trade with PE multiples in the mid-20’s.

I remember a few years back, I was at some investor conference, and I was telling another investor/analyst about owning Visa and Mastercard, and him going off on a tangent and telling me about how expensive the stocks were.

I just looked at him and said I have five bucks in my pocket, and  I have these, showing him my debit and credit cards. I told him you couldn’t value something that has never happen in the history of the world, as people move from cash to a cashless society.

I’d gladly pay in the mid-20’s for either of these companies, in fact, I have a few years back, and presently.  It is just this simple, how much cash do you carry in your pocket, and how many transactions do you make online? Every time you swipe, tap, insert, or click that Visa or MasterCard guess who makes money? They just sit there and collect the toll, like when you go over the George Washington bridge after sitting in traffic for 2 hours on the cross Bronx express. It is really is that simple.

V Chart

V data by YCharts

PayPal

You can begin to think of PayPal the same way as well, and to think Elon Musk was part of the early days of that company too. Now analysts are looking for them to earn $0.52 on revenue of $3.634 billion when they report results.

Alphabet

Finally, we will touch on Alphabet, but there is not much here to talk about. Analysts are looking for Alphabet to earn $9.98 on revenue of $31.86 billion. Alphabet is the dominant force in search and online advertising.

Have you thought about how many times a day your daily interactions touch an Alphabet product? I have, and it is amazing how engrained Alphabet is in my life. For Alphabet, it may just be that simple as well.

 

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Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own shares of V, MA, GOOGL

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2017 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #visa #mastercard #alphabet #amazon #alibaba

 

 

Roku Amazon S&P 500

Roku Slammed, Amazon’s Breakout, Plus Blackberry, JD, and More

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Roku Slammed, Amazon’s Breakout, Plus Blackberry, JD, and More

Roku

Roku shares continue to get hammered and have been downgraded twice over the past two days, with Morgan Stanley yesterday, and Citigroup today. The stock is down about 10 percent so far in 2018, and over 19 percent since hitting its high of $57.50 on January 3. The borrow rate on ROKU has now shot up to 41 percent, according to data from Interactive Brokers, that is up from up from around 24 percent on January 3, the borrow rate is the cost to borrow shares on an annualized basis. A high borrow rate means finding shares of Roku to short are hard, and that likely means short sellers are coming back to into the name. 

 

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Roku technical Breakdown

Additionally, we had talked about Roku’s technicals breaking down, it has now fallen below support at $48.50, with the stock now trading under $46.50, well below support, and now what was support becomes resistance. The next level of support comes all the way down at $37.90. 

Amazon

As we noted the other day, the seller at $1,192 appears to either be complete or has finally learned how to trade a stock, because shares of Amazon, have now broken out and have ripped higher. The chart below shows the level of resistance at $1,192, and the symmetrical triangle in the chart. Either way, shares are likely to continue to rise into what should a strong quarter for Amazon.

amazon

Visa, MasterCard, and PayPal

Have you seen the payment processor stocks just ripping higher to start the year? Visa, MasterCard, PayPal. If the holiday sales on the internet were robust, or for that matter anywhere, how do you think everyone made their payments. 

PYPL Chart

PYPL data by YCharts

Blackberry

Blackberry shares continue to move higher after signing a deal with Baidu to develop driverless car software. The stock took out resistance around $11.75 and appears primed to move on to around $17. The company today is undoubtedly very different from the dominant force it once was. 

blackberry

Different Blackberry

Revenue has fallen dramatically over the years, and for now, at least analysts do not have significant expectations for revenue to grow in the coming years. But this could be a turnaround story and worth continuing to watch. 

BB Annual Revenue Estimates Chart

BB Annual Revenue Estimates data by YCharts

JD.com

JD.com is breaking out in a big way today. It is a name we don’t often follow here, but one worth taking a look at, with a rise to $49 potentially being in the cards for this one. 

JD

S&P 500

The market overall just continues to move higher, and the S&P 500 has now cleared resistance, in a big way. We have been talking about this resistance trend line for some time, and the rise above likely means we get that acceleration in the overall market we have looked for. Hang on, 2,850 is coming in a hurry. 

I have put a box on the chart to once again, set up a target zone, just like we did for the end of 2017. 

s&p 500

That’s it!

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Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Capital own shares of V,MA

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2017 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #Roku #JD.com #Amazon #Visa #mastercard #sp500

 

micron

Trouble Brewing For Micron? Plus Nvidia, Acadia, Visa, MasterCard, Altria

Trouble Brewing For Micron? Plus Nvidia, Acadia, Visa, MasterCard, Altria

Parts of the market continue to perform, while other parts are continuing to struggle. The chip stocks Nvidia, Micron, and just continue to come under tremendous pressure, and what had been stellar years are beginning to become, well mortal.

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AVGO Chart

AVGO data by YCharts

Nvidia Shares

Nvidia’s trading pattern just continues to deteriorate and for now seems to point to a stock that could continue heading lower.  The next level of concern should come around $175, from there it is a long way down.

Micron

Micron shares attempted to rally, but failed to break resistance at $45 and have turned lower. What seems startling as we continue to look more closely at this name, is how earnings estimates are expected to fall over the next three years.

micron chips nvidia

As the chart below shows estimates are expected to fall from 7.98 in fiscal 2018, to $6.79 in 2019, and $6.21 in 2020.

MU EPS Estimates for 2 Fiscal Years Ahead Chart

MU EPS Estimates for 2 Fiscal Years Ahead data by YCharts

While revenue estimates show flat revenue growth over the next three years, which proves problematic for the stock going forward. No revenue growth plus earnings contraction equal margin deterioration.  2017 has been a good year for Micron and margin expansion, should it go the other way it could foretell further declines in the stocks. Look at the correlation between gross profit margins and the stock price.

MU Gross Profit Margin (Quarterly) Chart

MU Gross Profit Margin (Quarterly) data by YCharts

Interesting for sure.

Visa and MasterCard

Another set of stocks like Visa and MasterCard, which got slammed before have not only bounced back but are now higher than they were before the steep sell-off on December 4.

V Chart visa

V data by YCharts

A tale of two tapes, What does it mean? Not sure, it could be year-end profit taking or shorts that are starting to pile into the chip stock. Nvidia and Micron have seen an uptick in short interest recently.

NVDA Short Interest Chart

NVDA Short Interest data by YCharts

Altria

Talk about a comeback story, but have you noticed shares of Altria recently? It was crushed in the mid-summer, falling from $74 to under $61, and now they are back to $72. It shows how irrational the market can be at times, and why panic selling isn’t always the right thing to do.

altria

The FDA had purposed changing the rules around nicotine levels in cigarettes, and the stock tanked. But any change to the regulations would likely take years to happen if it ever happened. So now, the stock is  rising as reality comes back to the market’s sense.

Acadia And The ETF’s

Lastly, behold the effects of index funds and ETFs, the subject Acadia Pharmaceuticals. When you look at the chart of the IWM, the ETF for Russell 2000, and Acadia stock price, you don’t see much.

ACAD Chart acadia

ACAD data by YCharts

But when you do it as a ratio, it looks like the chart below. What is most fascinating is that the IWM has risen by nearly 32 percent over the past three years, while Acadia is down about 8 percent. But when Acadia falls, it stays at a ratio of nearly 5.25 to the ETF.

Fundamental Chart Chart

Fundamental Chart data by YCharts

The same happens when compared to the IBB.

Fundamental Chart Chart

Fundamental Chart data by YCharts

Interesting for sure, it tells us that sometimes stocks go up and down for no reason other than because ETF’s or indexes are going up and down. It is important to remember that when ETF are falling in price the underlying stocks that make up the basket of shares in the ETF are also being sold, and when ETF rise, they are buying the stocks in the basket.

In this case, we can see the effects because Acadia is very tightly held for the most part, with the Baker Brother and Fidelity owning nearly 35 percent of the shares, while index funds for Vanguard and Blackrock own another 11 percent.

Even more, the Biotech ETF ($XBI) owns 2.2 percent of Acadia shares, while the iShares Nasdaq Biotech Fund ($IBB) own 1.36 percent of shares.

Which way will Acadia go from here? Just watch the IWM and IBB and multiple or divide, it could be just that easy. That’s if you aren’t investing in it for the long-term.

Night…


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Seeking Alpha Author Michael Kramer joins Cheddar to give his top three predictions for 2018 market trends. The first one: Tesla will hit a $100 billion market cap! He explains why he’s comparing the auto company to Amazon in his analysis and prediction.

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Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Capital own shares of $ACAD $MA $V $MO

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2017 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #technology #biotech #ACADIA #MASTERCARD #VISA #MICRON #NVIDIA #ALTRIA #ETF #CHIPS #STOCKS

 

paypal nvidia activision

Why Nvidia, Activision, and PayPal Could Lead The Market Higher

Why Nvidia, Activision, and PayPal Could Lead The Market Higher – The Monster Week Ahead Report

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The week of November 27 will be a full-trading week, so surely all market participants will be back. There are now only five weeks left in 2017, and it will be interesting to see how the last few weeks go. As we mentioned before, there is little standing in the way of the #markets from continuing to rise. Undoubtedly, the tax reforming billing falling apart could be a huge negative, but at this point, it seems something will get done. Barring some unforeseen geopolitical event, the last five weeks of 2017 will ride on the coat-tails of the best-performing stocks, and that will help to drag everything up.

The graph below shows how many of the sectors have all gone up by about the same amount as the S&P 500, except for technology and energy, which are opposites. The #technology ETF ($XLK) is up over 33 percent, while the #energy ETF ($XLE) is down about 10 percent for the year.

IBB Chart

IBB data by YCharts

Technology Sectors Big Run

The table below shows just how strong the technology sector has been thus far in 2017.  There are only three stocks down out of the top 25, Verizon ($VZ), AT&T ($T), and IBM ($IBM).

Everyone knows the years that Micron Technology ($MU) and Nvidia ($NVDA) have had, but what about the  #Fintech companies, #PayPal ($PYPL), #Visa (V), and #MasterCard (MA),  are having absolutely monster years. PayPal is up by just about 100 percent this year. Activision Blizzard ($ATVI), the creator of video of games, has surged by almost 83 percent! These are massive gains going up and down the Sector without a doubt.

Technology XLK ETF Top 25

Technology ETF $XLK Top 25(Data Provided by Ycharts)


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Nvidia

Nvidia shares just continue to rise and is a repeat of last years monster gains. Every time we think Nvidia is finished rising, it just keeps rising. If Nvidia can cross $219, Nvidia can go higher before the year is over.

Nvidia

Activision

Activision Blizzard is on the verge of a significant break out too, just like Nvidia. If Activision can break through $67, it too will be on its way too much higher levels as well.

activision Blizzard

Fintech

PayPal

PayPal has had a tremendous run and is relatively clear which way this one has trended.

paypal

Visa

Visa has been trending nicely higher all year, and is right in its regression channel, a rise above $113 is a breakout for Visa.

VISA

MasterCard

MasterCard shares trend changed direction in May, and since then the slope of the rise has turned sharply higher. The stock is likely to continue to trend towards $160.

Mastercard

Tesla

Lastly, I through in #Tesla ($TSLA) because there has been no stock that has been more controversial over the past year or the past few years. The stock has been extremely volatile in 2017, due to the build-up of the Model 3 launch, and then the Model 3 production issues. Tesla is likely not finished being volatile anytime soon, either. But the chart has some interesting bullish indicators built into it.

First, we can see in the chart above, the breakout that occurred in 2017, after a 3-year period of consolidation. Second, we can see that Tesla, has recently tested technical support around the $290 level, which was the stock previous resistance level.

tesla

The stock has started trending higher recently, a move above $325 sends shares back into the $340’s. The $290 to $300 range will continue to act as very strong support for the stock going forward.

Good Look This Week!

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Michael Kramer and the clients of Mott Capital own shares of V,MA,TSLA, Vz

Photo Credit Via Flickr

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2017 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #SP500 $XLK $SPY #VISA #MASTERCARD #NVIDIA #ACTIVISON #TECHNOLOGY