Inflation returned this week as real yields pushed sharply higher, global bond markets sold off, and markets began pricing rate hikes everywhere but the Fed.

Nvidia’s pre-earnings gamma squeeze and heavy call buying continue to drive a narrow S&P 500 rally, while upcoming options expiration could ease mechanical hedging flows.

Market dispersion surged to record highs as implied volatility in S&P 500 stocks continued rising ahead of NVIDIA earnings and options settlement, signaling expectations for higher future volatility.

Stocks recovered from steep intraday losses as Treasury yields surged following hotter-than-expected CPI data, while key gamma positioning and upcoming T-bill issuance continue to shape market direction.

Mott Capital’s 1Q 2026 investor letter: Portfolio changes, oil/Iran impact, and Q2 outlook.

Technology stocks continue to dominate the market as dispersion reaches historic extremes, credit spreads widen, Treasury yields test resistance, and oil volatility breaks higher.

Semiconductor stocks led by Micron are exhibiting historically extreme technical and options-driven behavior as Treasury liquidity conditions begin shifting toward a less supportive backdrop for equities.

The April CPI report is expected on May 12, and it expected to be a hot one.

The Impacts Of Treasury Bill Issuance On The S&P 500 For nearly three years, the equity market appeared to absorb significant Treasury bill issuance with little visible cost to bank…

Small caps led the market lower as AI-related holdings continued to dominate performance drivers, while USD/JPY remained resilient above 155 and volatility markets showed little concern ahead of the jobs report.

Oil prices and Treasury yields fell sharply while technology stocks continued to dominate market performance, highlighting increasingly narrow leadership and the growing importance of options positioning around earnings.

SPY volume was lower than on the day after Thanksgiving. At least based on the data I have, total volume was just 35.9 million shares. Christmas Eve, a half day,…

Rising oil prices, higher Treasury yields, and increasing inflation expectations are converging to challenge equity market stability amid growing issuance and volatility shifts.

Inflation pressures remain elevated following strong ISM data, while Treasury yields across the curve show technical breakouts. With key labor and services reports ahead, markets may be underestimating the risk of higher rates.

Equities rose as volatility declined, but a sharp divergence with oil volatility and yen intervention signals rising cross-asset risks.

Markets face rising volatility as global bond yields climb, Fed dissents emerge, and investors await earnings and key central bank decisions.

The S&P 500 faces downside risk as rising oil, rates, and a stronger dollar compress the dispersion trade ahead of the FOMC meeting and key earnings.

Extreme S&P 500 dispersion highlights aggressive call-driven positioning, raising the risk of a post-earnings unwind in market support.

A packed week of central bank decisions and mega-cap earnings could trigger a sharp drop in implied volatility, driving lower dispersion and higher market correlations.

Gamma squeeze moves can drive sharp rallies as call buying forces dealers to hedge and pushes implied volatility higher alongside price. Here is how a gamma squeeze works.