Home » #jpmorgan

Tag: #jpmorgan

banks bets blame netflix tesla amazon

Banks, Bets, Breakouts, and Blame – Freaky Friday


Banks, Bets, Breakouts, and Blame – Freaky Friday

It was another exciting day in the stock market. Nah not really,  it was mostly uneventful. Technicals continue to dominate trading, with the S&P 500 testing resistance at 2,672, and testing support at 2,647, at the end of the day, we closed at 2,656.

 

Join our 536 Daily Subscribers And Get This FREE Commentary In Your E-Mail! 

S&P 500

Mott Capital Management, Michael Kramer

Mott Capital’s Reading The Markets

An In-depth Global Macro Premium Stock Market Commentary

In Video Format- See How Michael Dissects The Markets

Premium Subscription Based Membership

Just $200 Per Year – Get Your Free 2 Week Trial

Taking A Look The Banks, And Prepping For Earnings Season

Banks

As of right now, it would seem that the financials will not be the group to lead stocks higher. JP Morgan, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo reported results and all three were down despite posting good results. It could be a combination of things at play, expectations were for better, all the good news has been baked in, or investors are concerned about slowing earnings growth. It doesn’t matter what the reason was, but what seems to be crystal clear to me at least, is that the banks will not be the group to lead this market higher.financials


Yields

I think for the most part the treasury yields on the long-end of the curve are not giving in and are refusing to rise, and again I think that is a function of the low yield environment globally. The Fed can control the short-end of the curve, but the Fed has no control over the longer-end the yield curve. As long as the free market controls the long-end of the curve, I think the yield curve may continue to flatten, and that is very bad for the banks and interest income.

The spread between German and US bond is fairly steep at over 2.3 percent, and that is likely a problem

yields

In fact, I continue to believe the 10-year is going back to 2.6 percent.

Amazon

Amazon failed to stay above 1,440. Again, bad!

amazon

Nvidia

So now, Citron is betting Jim Cramer $230k that Nvidia’s stock will be below $230 in 12 months.

All I can say to Citron is that Nvidia is a tough stock to bet against. I have never once traded a share of Nvidia long or short. But I have sure written plenty on it, and I for some time I was extremely negative on it, probably from around $100 to $200, :). Every time I thought Nvidia would crack, or revenue and earnings would slow, they didn’t. To this point, it still may be easy to bet shares of Nvidia continue to rise than to bet they shall fall. Good luck to those two, I’ll remain an onlooker.


Netflix

Netflix shares broke out today, and it managed to close above the downtrend. That is a positive, considering the stock is heading into results Monday after the close. The stock got a couple more upgrades today as well. I will put a pre-earnings look on Sunday, again.

Advertisements

Tesla

Elon Musk was busy on Twitter today, first challenging the economist and claiming Tesla will be cash flow positive in third and fourth quarters, and then taking the blame for excessive automation causing problems in production.

I have no idea if Tesla will be cash flow positive or not by the third quarter. Lets first see how the first and second quarters go.

The one thing I do know is that that stock can’t get over $303.

tesla

Oil continues to rise and is getting closer to our $75 target.

oil

That’s it, see you Sunday! No commentary tomorrow, I’m taking the day off!

-Mike

 

Join our 536 Daily Subscribers And Get This FREE Commentary In Your E-Mail! 

Advertisements


Mott Capital’s Reading The Markets – An In-depth Global Macro Stock Market Commentary – In Video Format – See How Michael Dissects The Markets

Just $200 Per Year – Get Your Free 2 Week Trial

Recent Videos:

Taking A Look The Banks, And Prepping For Earnings Season

Passive Investing May Not Work In 2018

Stock Surge, A Breakout Is Close

Trade War Worries Returns

Free Articles Written By Mike:

Square’s Stock Is Facing Steeper Declines

Netflix’s Breakout May Boost Stock to Record Highs

Why JPMorgan’s Stock Is Losing Its Luster

Why Apple’s Stock May Have Peaked

4 Energy Stocks Set to Surge on Rising Oil

3 Biotech Stocks Analysts Have Been Too Bullish On

Bank of America Shares Seen Rising 8% Short Term

Visa’s Breakout May Boost Stock by 10%

Amazon’s Stock Faces Wild 10% Swings on Earnings

Why J&J’s Fallen Stock Is Still Too Pricey

Facebook Traders See Stock Rising 10%

3 Technology Stocks Facing Steep Declines

Why Nvidia’s Bulls May Be Way Too Bullish

Walmart Options Traders See Stock Surging 12% Short-Term

Citigroup Shares Poised to Plunge Further

Join our 536 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! Subscribe

-OR-

Michael Kramer and Clients of Mott capital own shares of NFLX, TSLA

Photo credit via Flickr

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2018 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #stockmarket #sp500 #amazon #tesla #nvidia #netflix #jpmorgan #banks

 

 

Advertisements
technology stocks

Technology Stocks Are Getting Ready To Go Higher, Plus Much More


Technology Stocks Are Getting Ready To Go Higher

There were a couple of positive developments today. First, the S&P was higher, by 83bps, and closed at 2,663. Next, the close above that pesky resistance level at 2,660 we had been watching. Today also established that 2,672 is now the next resistance area. The last two times the S&P 500 got to 2,672 it was followed by two nasty downdrafts, resulting in a fall of about 3 percent back to 2,600, each time. A rise above 2,672 would be an immensely positive sign for a continuation of the most recent rally.

Mott Capital Management, Michael Kramer

Mott Capital’s Reading The Markets

An In-depth Global Macro Premium Stock Market Commentary

In Video Format- See How Michael Dissects The Markets

Premium Subscription Based Membership

Just $200 Per Year – Get Your Free 2 Week Trial

S&P 500


Technology Stocks

A new trend line was born today for the technology sector, XLK, and for the first time in a while, the technology sector has a direction other than down. $67.10 continues to be a resistance level, but should it rise above resistance to say $67.50 it gives the ETF a perfect shot of filling the gap at $69.25.

technology

Nvidia

Nvidia looks to be heading back towards $245.

nvda

Advertisements

Consumer Stocks

Discretionaries are continuing to struggle after hitting resistance around $102.

consumer

Advertisements

Amazon

For right now, Amazon maybe the only stock capable of lifting the entire group. First, because it has a nearly 20 percent weighting in the ETF, second because today it closed above $1,440, a mild positive. There are still plenty of hurdles for Amazon to overcome; the most obvious is that the stock needs to stay $1,440.

amazon


Netflix

Netflix appears to be setting up for a breakout towards $322. The company reports results on Monday after the close; I will have a closer look at it over the weekend.

nflx


BANKS

Tomorrow will be a big day for the banks, with JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup all reporting before the open.

JP Morgan is slightly breaking out

jp morgan

But the setup in Citi doesn’t look nearly as strong.

citigroup

If the banks want to be a leading sector in the stock market, tomorrow will be the day they can prove they are capable are leading or not.

Advertisements

Acadia

Why is Acadia not back to $22 already, after the BS story from Monday? I was shocked to see the FDA made a statement on it.

The stocks downdraft proves once again you can’t believe everything you read, and that understanding what you are invested is so extremely important.

At this point, I’d be happy if we filled the first gap at $22, but the one at $30 would be a whole lot better.

acad


Tesla

You know, I was gonna end after Acadia, but then I saw this stupid analyst comment that Tesla is going to fall $84, because, get this, “increasing competition.” Are there no cars sold today? Is Tesla the only automaker in the whole world? Of course not.

I’m sorry, but Tesla has competition today and has had competition since the moment Elon Musk thought about making a car. A car is a car, and the thought that because Audi or Mercedes is going to start making an electric car, people are suddenly going to stop buying Tesla’s seems crazy to me. If someone wants to buy a Mercedes, they can get one right now. I do not think the world has become entrenched enough in the thought process of buying only green cars, that everyone is now running to Tesla. Besides, just how green are electric cars? The energy to power the battery needs to come from somewhere.  They are undoubtedly better than gas but come on; you still need the energy.

By the way, once again, the proof is the Chevy Bolt, how many cars did Chevy sell so far in 2018? A crappy 4,375.  How many in 2017 total? 23,297. Btw, they cost nearly 3 times less than a Model S, so why not 3 times the sales if the electric part matter so much?

People are buying a brand; they aren’t buying it because of the engine or motor type.

Good luck tomorrow

-Mike

 

Join our 536 Daily Subscribers And Get This FREE Commentary In Your E-Mail! 

Advertisements


Mott Capital’s Reading The Markets – An In-depth Global Macro Stock Market Commentary – In Video Format – See How Michael Dissects The Markets

Just $200 Per Year – Get Your Free 2 Week Trial

Recent Videos:

Passive Investing May Not Work In 2018

Stock Surge, A Breakout Is Close

Trade War Worries Returns

Stock Market Rallies, Is It For Real?

Today’s Rally Looks Fragile

What Is Going On With The Stock Market! It Is Insanity!

Put On Your Rally Hats

The Bottom Is Close

Where Does The Stock Market Go From Here

Free Articles Written By Mike:

Why Apple’s Stock May Have Peaked

4 Energy Stocks Set to Surge on Rising Oil

3 Biotech Stocks Analysts Have Been Too Bullish On

Bank of America Shares Seen Rising 8% Short Term

Visa’s Breakout May Boost Stock by 10%

Amazon’s Stock Faces Wild 10% Swings on Earnings

Why J&J’s Fallen Stock Is Still Too Pricey

Facebook Traders See Stock Rising 10%

3 Technology Stocks Facing Steep Declines

Why Nvidia’s Bulls May Be Way Too Bullish

Walmart Options Traders See Stock Surging 12% Short-Term

Citigroup Shares Poised to Plunge Further

Join our 536 Daily Subscribers And Get This Commentary In Your E-Mail! Subscribe

-OR-

Michael Kramer and Clients of Mott capital own shares of NFLX, TSLA, ACAD

Photo credit via Flickr

Mott Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Upon request, the advisor will provide a list of all recommendations made during the past twelve months. Past performance is not indicative of future.

© 2018 Mott Capital Management, LLC.  Use, publication or reproduction in any media prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder.

Tags: #stockmarket #sp500 #amazon #tesla #acadia #nvidia #netflix #jpmorgan #banks